Kampala, Uganda – Uganda’s coffee sector is reaping the rewards of a global supply crunch, with exports surging to Shs 615 billion ($167.78 million) in February 2025—a 103% jump in value compared to the same period last year.
Record Growth Amid Global Shortages
According to the latest trade data, Uganda shipped 555,756 60-kilo bags in February, marking a 27.93% increase in volume.
The spike was driven by skyrocketing global prices, with Bugisu C/PB coffee fetching $8.18 per kilo—the highest in the market.
Key drivers behind the boom
✔ Supply disruptions in Brazil and Vietnam (world’s top producers) due to dry weather.
✔ Robusta dominance – 466,691 bags (135.32m) vs. Arabica – 89,065 bags (32.36m).
✔ Farm-gate prices holding strong – Shs 15,500/kg for Robusta, Shs 14,500/kg for Arabica.
Who’s Cashing In?
A handful of exporters continue to dominate the trade, with just 10 firms controlling 71% of February’s shipments—mirroring January’s trend.
This consolidation raises questions about equitable profit distribution among small-scale farmers.
Can Uganda Sustain the Momentum?
Over the past year (March 2024–February 2025), Uganda exported 6.57 million bags worth $1.72 billion—a 70.71% surge in earnings year-on-year.
With global uncertainty persisting, analysts predict sustained high demand for Uganda’s beans.
But challenges loom
⚠ Dependence on external shocks – Prices could plummet if Brazil/Vietnam recover.
⚠ Market concentration risk – Overreliance on a few exporters may stifle competition.
The Bottom Line
Uganda’s coffee sector is thriving, but long-term success hinges on diversifying buyers, investing in value addition, and ensuring farmers benefit from the windfall.
For now, the country remains a key player in the global coffee trade—with no signs of slowing down.
What’s next? Industry leaders urge policy reforms to lock in gains before the global market shifts.
